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Table 3 TEMP/W model iterations in this study

From: Permafrost thaw and ground settlement considering long-term climate impact in northern Alaska

Model

Scenario

Ground surface condition

n-factor

Air temperature data

nf

nt

 

Initial

Organic layer and tundra vegetative cover

0.5

1

Historical

Undisturbed

1

Average of 28 CMIP5 Models

Tundra

2

Upper Bound (BNU-ESM)

3

Lower Bound (CMCC-CESM)

4

Gravel fill and maintained surface

0.95

1.25

Average of 28 CMIP5 Models

Gravel road

5

Upper Bound (BNU-ESM)

6

Lower Bound (CMCC-CESM)